Here’s how this works…

Each week, we will introduce you to one new investing term that you’ll need to know if you want to start investing.

Then we’ll provide a summary of the past week’s financial news and explain why it’s relevant to you as a beginner investor and, more importantly, how you can use this knowledge to your advantage.

So, let’s get cracking!

TERM TO LEARN

THE STOCK MARKET IS DIVIDED INTO BULL AND BEAR MARKETS TO DESCRIBE AND CATEGORIZE DIFFERENT PHASES OF MARKET BEHAVIOR AND INVESTOR SENTIMENT. THIS CLASSIFICATION SERVES SEVERAL IMPORTANT PURPOSES.

CHARACTERISING MARKET TRENDS.

Bull and bear markets represent opposite sides of the market cycle:

  • A bull market is characterised by rising stock prices, economic growth, and positive investor sentiment.

  • A bear market is marked by falling stock prices, economic contraction, and negative investor sentiment.

This distinction helps investors and analysts quickly understand the overall direction and health of the market.

ECONOMIC INDICATORS.

The bull and bear market labels often reflect broader economic conditions:

  • Bull markets typically coincide with strong economies, low unemployment, and high consumer spending.

  • Bear markets are often associated with weak economies, rising unemployment, and decreased consumer spending.

By categorising markets this way, observers can gain insights into the overall economic climate.

INVESTOR PSYCHOLOGY.

These market phases significantly influence and reflect investor behaviour:

  • In bull markets, investors are optimistic and more willing to buy stocks, driving prices higher.

  • In bear markets, investors become pessimistic and may sell stocks or avoid investing, further pushing prices down.

Understanding these psychological factors helps explain market movements and investor decision-making.

RISK ASSESSMENT.

The bull/bear classification aids in risk assessment:

  • Bull markets generally present lower risk for investors, as most stocks are increasing in value.

  • Bear markets are typically more dangerous to invest in, with higher volatility and declining stock values.

This categorisation helps investors adjust their strategies based on market conditions.

INVESTMENT NEWS FOR BEGINNERS

Wall Street is fixated on a possible Yen intervention.

For a long time, the Japanese yen has been very ‘weak’ compared to the U.S. dollar. This means one dollar can buy a lot of yen, making Japanese goods cheap for Americans but making life very expensive for people in Japan. Recently, the yen’s value dropped so low that it reached a ‘danger zone’. Wall Street is now on high alert because they believe the Japanese government (and potentially the U.S. government) is stepping in to manually push the yen’s value back up (a move called ‘intervention’). Instead of letting the market decide the price, the central banks effectively ‘force’ the currency to strengthen by selling dollars and buying massive amounts of yen. This is a big deal because when the world’s third-largest economy makes a sudden move like this, it sends shockwaves through global stock and bond markets.

Why this matters to you…

  • The ‘carry trade’ risk. Many big professional investors use a strategy called the ‘yen carry trade’. They borrow money in Japan (where interest rates are very low) and invest it in the U.S. stock market or high-tech companies (like Nvidia or Apple). If the yen suddenly gets stronger, those loans become much more expensive to pay back. To cover their costs, these big investors might suddenly sell their U.S. stocks, causing the stock market to dip.

  • Impact on tech & large companies. Because many U.S. tech stocks are tied to the ‘carry trade’ mentioned above, a yen intervention can cause temporary volatility (price swings) in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, even if the companies themselves are doing fine.

What you need to do…

  • Watch the ‘magnificent seven’ (a group of seven influential technology companies: Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla, known for their significant market performance and impact on the economy). They are often the first to be sold off when the ‘yen carry trade’ unwinds. If you own these, expect some volatility in your portfolio value during weeks when the yen is in the news.

  • Understand ‘value’ vs. ‘price’. A yen intervention doesn't change how good a company like Microsoft or Nvidia is, it just changes the maths for the people who borrowed money to buy those stocks. Use these moments to focus on the quality of your investments rather than the daily price fluctuations.

USA Rare Earth shares rally as Commerce Department takes equity stake.

The U.S. government, through the Department of Commerce, has decided to invest $1.6 billion into a company called USA Rare Earth. Rare earth minerals are materials used to build high-tech items like smartphones, electric vehicle (EV) batteries, and military equipment. Currently, China controls most of the world's supply. To make the U.S. less dependent on other countries, the government is giving this company a mix of cash and loans to build a mine in Texas and a magnet factory in Oklahoma. In exchange, the government is becoming a part-owner of the company, taking an equity stake.

Why this matters to you…

  • When a government buys shares in a company, it acts as a massive seal of approval. It signals to other investors that the company is strategically important to the country, which often causes the stock price to jump (a ‘rally’).

  • However, while the stock price went up on the news, the company is creating millions of new shares to give to the government. For existing investors, this means they now own a smaller slice of the total company pie. This is a key concept for beginner investors to watch when companies raise money.

What you need to do…

  • ‘Buy the rumour, sell the news’. You may notice that while the stock rallied, some experts suggest being cautious. Often, by the time a beginner investor reads the news, the easy money has already been made by professional traders who moved fast. Don't feel pressured to chase a stock just because it is up 25% in one day.

  • Understand ‘pre-revenue’ risks. USA Rare Earth is considered ‘pre-revenue’, meaning they aren't actually making money from selling products yet (their mine won't be fully ready until roughly 2028). As a beginner investor, remember that government backing helps, but it doesn't guarantee the company will be profitable soon.

  • Watch the fundamentals. Always check if a company has a path to actually making a profit. A government loan is a debt that must be paid back. High debt can be a burden on a company's future growth, even if the initial news looks positive.

US Treasury market is a ticking time bomb.

The US Treasury market is essentially the place where the U.S. government borrows money by selling Treasuries (IOUs or bonds) to investors. For decades, these have been considered the safest investments in the world. However, the U.S. government’s debt has grown so large (now over $38.4 trillion) that the cost of just paying the interest on that debt is becoming a massive problem. The ‘ticking time bomb’ refers to the fear that if the government keeps borrowing at this speed, investors might eventually lose confidence. If that happens, the government would have to pay much higher interest rates to attract buyers, which could trigger a global financial crisis.

Why this matters to you…

  • The ‘safe-haven’ is shifting. Traditionally, investors buy Treasuries to protect their money during a stock market crash. The article warns that Treasuries may no longer be the perfect safety net they once were because they are becoming more volatile (risky) themselves.

  • When Treasury interest rates (yields) go up, stocks (especially ‘growth’ stocks like tech companies) often go down. This is because higher rates make it more expensive for companies to borrow money to grow.

What you need to do…

  • Don’t ignore bonds and interest rates. Even if you mostly buy stocks or funds, keep an eye on US Treasury yields (especially the 10‑year), because they influence global markets and valuations.

  • Diversify beyond one country. Since this is a U.S.-specific debt problem, it’s a good reminder not to put all your eggs in one basket. Investing in international markets or ‘hard assets’ like gold can provide a hedge if the U.S. dollar or bond market struggles.

Thanks for reading this 18th edition.

What’s up next? Glad you asked…

Get ready for a massive week on Wall Street!

We’re heading into the heart of earnings season with heavy hitters like Apple, Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla all reporting their latest numbers, which will be a huge pulse-check for the AI boom. Plus, the Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday for their first interest rate decision of 2026. While most experts expect them to hold steady, everyone will be hanging on Jerome Powell’s every word for clues on what’s next for our investments. Between big tech updates and global inflation data, expect some movement in the markets.

Definitely a week to keep your notifications on!

See you next week…

DISCLAIMER: This newsletter and the information contained within it is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading any asset involves risk and could result in significant capital losses. Always do your own research before making any investment decision and speak to a qualified financial adviser if you’re unsure. We can’t accept responsibility for any losses that may arise from the following information shared here.

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