INVESTING NEWS, TRANSLATED FOR BEGINNER INVESTORS.

Coming up:

πŸ›°οΈ Starlink vs. starship: What powers the SpaceX machine?

πŸ’‘ Is it time to revisit β€˜value investing’?

πŸͺ™ Gold is down, but not out.

Today’s issue read time: 7 minutes.

But first…

THE MARKET PULSE

Here’s what moved the market last week:

Global Markets and the major catalyst:

For the last few months, global markets have been weighed down by the conflict involving Iran, which caused global energy prices to spike and fueled fears of sticky inflation. However, global stock markets reacted with a wave of optimism to the headlines indicating that the US and Iran are close to a peace agreement. The US S&P 500 remained steady near historic highs, while European stock markets registered sharp gains. Stock markets are β€˜forward-looking’. They often price in future expectations before they actually happen. The mere hope of peace caused a rush of positive investor sentiment.

Commodities: Oil and gold retreat:

Because a peace deal looks likely, the pressure on major global commodities eased significantly this week. Brent Crude oil fell over 4% to around $86.50 a barrel, its lowest level since March. Less conflict means less risk of supply disruptions. Gold prices dipped below $4,200 an ounce. Investors frequently buy gold as a β€˜safe-haven’ asset during times of war or high inflation. With tensions thawing, some of that emergency demand trickled away. Lower oil prices are excellent news for the global economy. It means lower transport and manufacturing costs, which ultimately helps cool down inflation.

The UK economy: Rebound vs reality:

The UK saw a mixed bag of data last week, illustrating a classic tug-of-war between short-term consumer bursts and longer-term economic headwinds. Data released showed that the UK economy contracted by 0.1% month-on-month in April. This wasn't a surprise to economists. It reflects the delayed bite of higher energy costs from earlier in the spring, but it confirms that overall growth is sluggish. On the bright side, May retail sales jumped 3.7% year-on-year. A late-May heatwave and bank holidays got people out spending on summer clothes and barbecues. One month of minor contraction doesn't mean a crisis. Consumer spending is still alive and well, but businesses are remaining cautious about investing and hiring until the economic outlook stabilises.

THE DEEP DIVE

SpaceX’s IPO: What next…

SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history, raising $75 billion. On its very first day of public trading, investors rushed to buy the stock, causing its price to jump by nearly 20%. Investors aren't just buying rockets. SpaceX recently merged with Musk’s AI company (xAI). Right now, the highly profitable satellite internet business (Starlink) is making a lot of money, which SpaceX is using to fund its highly expensive, loss-making projects, like building the massive Starship rocket and setting up massive AI data centres. The company is currently losing money overall (a net loss of nearly $5 billion last year) because it spends so much on future tech. Investors are buying the stock based on what they hope the company will achieve in the future, rather than what it actually earns today.

Why this matters to you…

  • You will probably end up owning shares: Because SpaceX is now so massive, index funds (baskets of stocks that track the whole market, which many people already hold) are fast-tracking SpaceX into their portfolios. This means if you own a general market fund, you might automatically become a partial owner of SpaceX without even realising it.

  • It Introduces big volatility to the market: SpaceX is trading at a massive premium based on hype and future promises. If a SpaceX rocket fails or its AI projects stall, the stock could drop sharply, which can sway the broader technology stock market.

  • It redefines company value: Traditionally, investors look at a company's current profits to determine its value. SpaceX's historic debut shows that the modern stock market is highly driven by future β€˜disruptive tech’ promises (AI + Space), changing how big tech companies are judged.

What you need to do…

  • Beware of the β€˜IPO pop’ and FOMO: When a famous company first goes public, hype often drives the price sky-high on day one (the β€˜pop’). Beginner investors often suffer from FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) and buy in at the absolute peak. Historically, many high-profile IPOs experience a rocky, volatile first year. It is usually safer for beginners to sit on the sidelines and watch how a stock performs for a few months before jumping in.

  • Understand what powers the business: Always look under the hood. SpaceX is famous for its Mars exploration ambitions, but its financial engine is actually Starlink (selling internet subscriptions). When researching a company, try to separate the exciting headline story from the actual product that brings in steady cash flow.

  • Factor in the additional cost of investing in SpaceX: The company is valued at over 90 times what it makes in revenue. Buying a stock at that valuation means you are paying a massive premium for potential. As a beginner investor, balancing your portfolio with stable, boring companies that make consistent, predictable profits is a great shield against high-risk, hype-driven stocks.

M&G Investments widens access to its Global Strategic Value strategy…

M&G Investments (a massive, well-known UK financial firm) has launched a new version of its existing Global Strategic Value Fund. Think of a fund like a giant shopping basket filled with tiny pieces of over 100 different companies from all over the world. Instead of buying individual stocks, investors buy a share of this pre-made basket. This fund uses a specific strategy called Value Investing. The fund managers look for unloved, overlooked, or temporarily beaten-down companies whose stock prices are lower than what the business is actually worth. They buy these cheap stocks and hold them, waiting for the rest of the market to realise their true value so the stock price recovers (called β€˜re-rating’). M&G's investment bosses note that the stock market is shifting. Recently, a tiny handful of massive US tech giants have driven most of the market's gains. M&G believes that landscape is fracturing, and the gap between winning and losing stocks is widening. They argue this environment makes human β€˜stock-pickers’ highly valuable right now.

Why this matters to you…

  • It highlights the β€˜value vs growth’ shift: For the last several years, β€˜growth’ investing (buying fast-moving tech companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, or SpaceX based on future potential) has dominated. M&G launching this fund internationally signals that big institutions expect a comeback for β€˜value’ investing (buying steady, established companies that are currently underpriced).

  • It emphasises diversification: Many beginner investors start with a portfolio heavily tilted toward US tech because those names are familiar and have performed incredibly well. This news is a reminder that professional money managers are actively looking for global diversification outside of the US to manage risk.

  • Active management vs. passive indexing: This fund is actively managed, meaning highly paid professional fund managers are manually picking which stocks to buy and sell. This stands in contrast to passive funds (like a standard S&P 500 or MSCI World ETF) that simply use a computer algorithm to track the whole market automatically.

What you need to do…

  • Consider β€˜active fees’ vs β€˜passive costs’: Active funds like this one employ teams of researchers to try and beat the market benchmark (in this case, the MSCI All Country World Index). Because of this human labour, active funds carry higher ongoing fees, often around 0.90% per year or more. Passive ETFs, by contrast, often cost a fraction of that (around 0.05% to 0.22%). As a beginner investor, always weigh whether an active manager's potential to β€˜beat the market’ justifies the higher fee eating into your returns.

  • Don’t fall for home-country bias: It's easy to buy stocks or funds from companies you see on the High Street or on your phone every day. This announcement serves as a useful reminder that the investment universe is truly global. Looking at funds that hold a mix of UK, US, European, and Emerging Market assets can build a far sturdier foundation for long-term growth.

  • Let the market noise settle: When large asset managers launch new funds, their marketing departments issue press releases to drum up excitement and bring in cash. You don't need to rush out and buy every new fund that launches. Instead, use these announcements as a weather vane to understand where professional investors think the economy is heading next.

Gold price outlook June 2026: What CPI and the Fed mean…

Gold, historically considered a safe place to invest your money, has dropped 25% from its record high of $5,589 in January down to around $4,165. This recent drop isn't a sign that the metal has lost its long-term value, but rather a short-term reaction to two major economic events in the United States. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures how fast everyday prices are rising, shows inflation hit 4.2%. However, when you strip out volatile energy prices (like gasoline, which spiked due to conflicts in the Middle East), 'Core Inflation’ actually slowed down slightly to 2.9%. The Fed (the US Central Bank) controls interest rates. Because the economy and job market are still performing strongly, the Fed is unlikely to lower interest rates anytime soon. In fact, under its new chair, Kevin Warsh, some investors fear the Fed might actually raise interest rates later this year to finish cooling down inflation.

Why this matters to you…

  • It explains the relationship between interest rates and gold: Gold is an unusual asset because it pays absolutely nothing, no dividends, no interest, no cash flow. When interest rates on safe government bonds are high, investors prefer to hold bonds to earn a guaranteed return, causing them to sell gold and drive its price down.

  • It demystifies the term β€˜opportunity cost’ This perfectly illustrates opportunity cost. If you can earn a high, safe return on cash or bonds because the Fed is keeping interest rates elevated, the cost of holding gold (instead of those bonds) becomes much higher.

  • It clarifies headline inflation vs. core inflation: Beginner investors often react to the big headline inflation number (4.2%). This shows that markets look at Core Inflation (2.9%) to see if prices are rising across the entire economy or if it's just a temporary spike in one sector, like oil.

What you need to do…

  • View corrections as market resets, not collapses: When an asset drops 25% from its peak, the usual instinct is often to panic and assume the investment is broken. Often, a drop like this is frequently just a β€˜positioning reset’ driven by short-term trading. If the fundamental reasons you bought an asset haven't changed, a dip can simply be a normal part of a market cycle.

  • Diversify for different economic weather: Gold often performs well when the stock market is crashing or currency is losing value rapidly. Currently, with high interest rates and a strong stock market, gold is taking a back seat. This perfectly demonstrates why a balanced portfolio shouldn't rely on just one asset class. You want a mix of assets (equities, bonds, commodities) that take turns supporting your portfolio in different economic environments.

  • Watch what big institutions do, now what they say: While individual retail investors have been selling off gold out of fear, central banks around the world (especially in major economies like China) are continuing to buy hundreds of tonnes of physical gold to diversify away from paper currencies. Watching where the world’s largest pools of institutional money are quietly moving can give you a much steadier long-term perspective.

ON OUR RADAR

The market never sleeps. Here are the big events on our radar for next week, and why they matter to you:

  • Wednesday, June 17 - UK Inflation (CPI) Data. This is the big one for the Bank of England. Economists are looking to see if inflation holds close to its 2.8% mark, which will heavily dictate whether the central bank can keep interest rates steady or if they need to consider a tighter grip.

  • Wednesday, June 17 - Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision. The US central bank is widely expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.50%–3.75%. Tech and global investors will be listening closely to the press conference for clues on when the Fed might finally resume cutting rates later this year.

  • Thursday, June 18 - Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate Announcement. Hot on the heels of the inflation data, the Bank of England will announce its latest rate decision. While a β€˜hold’ at 3.75% is the expected outcome, the big story is the expected 5-4 voting split among the policy members, showing just how tense the debate is.

  • Friday, June 19 - UK Retail Sales. This report shows how much people are spending across high street stores and online shops. For investors, it measures the health of the β€˜real’ economy and indicates whether higher interest rates are finally causing consumers to tighten their belts.

  • Tuesday, June 23 - FedEx Corp Earnings Report. FedEx is considered a major bellwether for the global economy. Because they ship everything from consumer tech to industrial parts, their corporate profits and outlook tell investors how fast global trade and shipping volumes are actually moving.

DISCLAIMER: This newsletter and the information contained within it is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading any asset involves risk and could result in significant capital losses. Always do your own research before making any investment decision and speak to a qualified financial adviser if you’re unsure. We can’t accept responsibility for any losses that may arise from the following information shared here.

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